Colts: 1 wins in the last 5
Despite uneven form, the Cowboys hold the clearly better position, and the model backs their favorite status at 61 percent.
Despite uneven form, the Cowboys hold the clearly better position, and the model backs their favorite status at 61 percent.
The model sees the Colts only about four points behind, while the line already demands 5.5 points, giving 1.5 points of edge in favor of the hosts.
A narrow Cowboys win by 1 to 7 points is the most likely range, as the model sees a close game and this edge reflects the most common outcome.