Mon 05.10. 02:20 Week 4
FINAL
+3.0 pts
lost
Lions
LWWLW
26:32
FINAL
DET
1.56
-180
-12
CAR +3.5
1.93
-108
+7
CAR
2.50
+150
+8
Panthers
LLLWL
Model
52%
Panthers: 1 wins in the last 5
Exact score 26:25
Margin Lions 1–7
Home total Panthers Over 23.5
Read
The Lions hold a 52% model win probability, confirming their favorite status on the -180 line.
Panthers: 1 wins in the last 5Lions: 3 wins in the last 5Rest Panthers 7d · Lions 7d
Projected 26:25
Odds
ML DET1.56-180
ML CAR2.50+150
DET -3.51.89-112
CAR +3.51.93-108
Over 50.51.89-112
Under 50.51.93-108
Tips
Moneyline
1.56
lost
Lions -180
The Lions hold a 52% model win probability, confirming their favorite status on the -180 line.
Spread
1.93
won
Panthers +3.5 (-108)
The Panthers trail by only 0.5 points in the model at +3.5, representing 3.0 points of value against the line.
Exact score
lost
26:25
The model sees a tied game at 25-25, so the model line favors neither side here.
Margin
lost
Lions 1–7
The model gives the Lions a 20% probability in the most likely 1-7 point range, pointing to a narrow road win.
Home total
won
Panthers Over 23.5
The model projects 24.8 points for the Panthers, 1.3 points above the 23.5 line, favoring the over.
H2H
Lions
W 31-24L 31-41W 31-30W 19-16L 10-23
Panthers
L 18-21W 34-3L 37-59L 31-34L 14-16
82%Offense46%
28%Defense40%