Sun 04.10. 22:25 Week 4
FINAL
+5.8 pts
won
Chiefs
LLWWW
30:27
FINAL
KC
1.44
-225
-8
LV +4.5
1.93
-108
LV
2.85
+185
+4
Raiders
LWWWW
Model
61%
Raiders: 4 wins in the last 5
Exact score 23:19
Margin Chiefs 1–7
Home total Raiders Under 21.5
Away total Chiefs Under 25.5
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The model gives the Chiefs a clear 61% win probability, confirming their favorite status in this divisional matchup.
Raiders: 4 wins in the last 5Chiefs: 3 wins in the last 5Rest Raiders 7d · Chiefs 7dDivisional game
Projected 23:19
Odds
ML KC1.44-225
ML LV2.85+185
KC -4.51.89-112
LV +4.51.93-108
Over 47.51.87-115
Under 47.51.95-105
Tips
Moneyline
1.44
won
Chiefs -225
The model gives the Chiefs a clear 61% win probability, confirming their favorite status in this divisional matchup.
Total
1.95
lost
Under 47.5 (-105)
The model projects 41.7 points, well below the 47.5 line, giving the Under side a 5.8-point edge.
Exact score
lost
23:19
The model sees a close outcome at 23:19, supporting the given side.
Margin
won
Chiefs 1–7
The most likely range is a Chiefs win by 1–7 points, which justifies the given side.
Home total
lost
Raiders Under 21.5
With 18.9 projected points for the Raiders, the model is 2.6 points below the 21.5 line, supporting the under side.
Away total
lost
Chiefs Under 25.5
With 22.8 projected points for the Chiefs, the model is 2.7 points below the 25.5 line, supporting the under side.
H2H (2)
1
KC
0
T
1
LV
28.5
Ø
12-1431-0
Chiefs
W 24-10W 33-30W 31-10L 12-14L 13-20
Raiders
W 35-27W 26-14W 27-13W 14-12L 10-34
78%Offense8%
60%Defense65%