Sun 04.10. 22:25 Week 4
FINAL
+2.6 pts
won
Broncos
WLLWW
14:24
FINAL
DEN
2.24
+124
-5
SF -3
2.00
+100
+2
SF
1.68
-148
49ers
WLWWW
Model
60%
49ers: 4 wins in the last 5
Exact score 23:27
Margin 49ers 1–7
Home total 49ers Over 25.5
Read
The 49ers have clearly better form at home and the model gives them a 60% win probability, supporting the 49ers -148 side.
49ers: 4 wins in the last 5Broncos: 3 wins in the last 5Rest 49ers 7d · Broncos 7d
Projected 23:27
Odds
ML DEN2.24+124
ML SF1.68-148
DEN +31.83-120
SF -32.00+100
Over 47.51.91-110
Under 47.51.91-110
Tips
Moneyline
1.68
won
49ers -148
The 49ers have clearly better form at home and the model gives them a 60% win probability, supporting the 49ers -148 side.
Total
1.91
lost
Over 47.5 (-110)
The model total of 50.1 is 2.6 points above the 47.5 line, clearly supporting the Over 47.5 side.
Exact score
lost
23:27
The model projects the 49ers ahead 27-23, supporting the given side of 23-27 and showing the model line as an edge over a pure bookmaker price.
Margin
lost
49ers 1–7
The 49ers win by 1 to 7 points with 20% probability in the model, explaining the given range as the most likely margin.
Home total
lost
49ers Over 25.5
The model expects 26.8 points from the 49ers, 1.3 points above the line, supporting the Over 25.5 side.
H2H
Broncos
W 30-26W 20-13L 10-31L 7-10W 33-30
49ers
W 36-30W 35-13W 27-7L 6-41W 23-19
54%Offense92%
62%Defense35%