Sun 04.10. 19:00 Week 4
FINAL
+5.2 pts
won
Jets
LLWLL
12:23
FINAL
NYJ
2.45
+145
-15
CHI -3.5
1.98
-102
+14
CHI
1.57
-175
+10
Bears
WLWLW
Model
74%
Bears: 3 wins in the last 5
Exact score 20:29
Margin Bears 8–14
Home total Bears Over 23.5
Read
The Bears hold a clear 74% model win probability, confirming their favorite status.
Bears: 3 wins in the last 5Jets: 1 wins in the last 5Rest Bears 6d · Jets 7d
Projected 20:29
Odds
ML NYJ2.45+145
ML CHI1.57-175
NYJ +3.51.85-118
CHI -3.51.98-102
Over 43.51.98-102
Under 43.51.85-118
Tips
Moneyline
1.57
won
Bears -175
The Bears hold a clear 74% model win probability, confirming their favorite status.
Spread
1.98
won
Bears -3.5 (-102)
Chicago leads by 8.7 points in the model, covering the 3.5-point line by a 5.2-point margin.
Total
1.98
lost
Over 43.5 (-102)
The model projects 48.6 points, 5.1 points above the 43.5 line, favoring the over.
Exact score
lost
20:29
The model sees the Bears ahead by 8.7 points, suggesting a close win even without a bookmaker price.
Margin
won
Bears 8–14
The most likely range is a Bears lead of 8 to 14 points, supported by the model's 20 percent figure.
Home total
lost
Bears Over 23.5
The Bears are projected to score 28.6 points, which is 5.1 points above the 23.5 line.
H2H
Jets
L 24-31L 17-20W 23-10L 8-35L 10-42
Bears
W 27-7L 3-9W 59-37L 17-20W 31-27
27%Offense81%
20%Defense48%