Bills: 4 wins in the last 5
The Bills hold a clear 57% model win probability and confirm that favorite role at home in a divisional game.
The Bills hold a clear 57% model win probability and confirm that favorite role at home in a divisional game.
The model margin of 2.4 points in favor of the Bills falls short of the 6.5 line, giving the Patriots a 4.1-point edge to the line as the more valuable underdog.
The model total of 51.1 points sits 2.6 points above the 48.5 line, favoring the over.
The model projects a final score of 24:27, reflecting the close nature of this divisional matchup.
The most likely margin is a Bills win by 1 to 7 points, supported by current form.
The model expects 24.3 points from the Patriots, which is 3.8 above the 20.5 line.