Buccaneers: 1 wins in the last 5
Despite recent form struggles, the Buccaneers have a 50% win probability in the model, clearly justifying the +160 price.
Despite recent form struggles, the Buccaneers have a 50% win probability in the model, clearly justifying the +160 price.
The model has the Buccaneers ahead by 0.2 points, so the +3.5 line offers a 3.7-point edge.
The model projects 45.9 points, so the 39.5 line offers a 6.4-point edge for the Over.
The model sees a 23:24 tie, so the 23:24 side based on the model's number is the appropriate call.
The most likely range is a Buccaneers win by 1–7 points, which supports the Buccaneers 1–7 side.
The model projects 23.0 points for the Buccaneers, 5.5 points above the 17.5 line, so the Buccaneers Over 17.5 side is correct.
The model projects 22.8 points for the Packers, 1.3 points above the 21.5 line, so the Packers Over 21.5 side is correct.