Sun 04.10. 19:00 Week 4
FINAL
+2.7 pts
lost
Cowboys
WLLWL
34:30
FINAL
DAL
2.20
+120
-5
HOU -2.5
1.87
-115
HOU
1.70
-142
Texans
WLLLL
Model
60%
Texans: 1 wins in the last 5
Exact score 24:27
Margin Texans 1–7
Home total Texans Over 25.5
Away total Cowboys Over 22.5
Read
The Texans hold a 60% model win probability, confirming their favorite status against a team with poor recent form.
Texans: 1 wins in the last 5Cowboys: 2 wins in the last 5Rest Texans 7d · Cowboys 7dDome
Projected 24:27
Odds
ML DAL2.20+120
ML HOU1.70-142
DAL +2.51.95-105
HOU -2.51.87-115
Over 48.51.95-105
Under 48.51.87-115
Tips
Moneyline
1.70
lost
Texans -142
The Texans hold a 60% model win probability, confirming their favorite status against a team with poor recent form.
Total
1.95
won
Over 48.5 (-105)
With a model total of 51.2 points, the Over side sits 2.7 points above the line and is thus supported.
Exact score
lost
24:27
The model projects a narrow 24:27 outcome favoring the hosts, which supports the pick.
Margin
lost
Texans 1–7
The most likely range is a Texans win by 1 to 7 points, confirming the pick.
Home total
won
Texans Over 25.5
With 27.4 projected points, the model sits 1.9 above the line, hence the Over 25.5 pick.
Away total
won
Cowboys Over 22.5
With 23.9 projected points, the model sits 1.4 above the line, hence the Over 22.5 pick.
H2H
Cowboys
L 31-34W 37-20L 20-28L 17-34W 30-23
Texans
L 17-19L 6-20L 31-36L 16-28W 30-6
92%Offense38%
8%Defense73%