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This week · Week 4

Fri 02.10. 02:15 Week 4
FINAL +2.7 pts won
Details
Steelers
WLWLW
24:27
FINAL
PIT 1.68 -148 -11
CLE +2.5 2.00 +100 +8
CLE 2.24 +124 +6
Browns
WWLWW
Model 51%
ATS +2.5O/U 38.5Rodgers · WatsonDIV H2H 1-0-1

Browns: 4 wins in the last 5

Exact score 19:20 Margin Browns 1–7 Home total Browns Over 17.5 Away total Steelers Under 20.5
PIT49%
ATS58%
CLE51%
Read

The Browns have a slight edge at home in a divisional game with 51%, justifying the win despite being underdogs.

Browns: 4 wins in the last 5Steelers: 3 wins in the last 5Rest Browns 4d · Steelers 4dDivisional game
Projected 19:20
Odds
ML PIT1.68-148
ML CLE2.24+124
PIT -2.51.83-120
CLE +2.52.00+100
Over 38.51.95-105
Under 38.51.87-115
Tips
Moneyline 2.24 won
Browns +124

The Browns have a slight edge at home in a divisional game with 51%, justifying the win despite being underdogs.

Spread 2.00 won
Browns +2.5 (+100)

With a model margin of +0.2 and a line of 2.5 points, the spread of 2.5 points offers a 2.7-point edge for the Browns.

Exact score lost
19:20

The model sees a evenly matched duel, so the pick at a tie with a line of 19:20 and a model value of 19:20 uses the model stance as the edge, with no bookmaker price available.

Margin won
Browns 1–7

The model assigns the Browns the most likely range at 20%, so the pick on a Browns win by 1–7 points with a line of Browns 1–7 relies on that most likely range as the edge.

Home total won
Browns Over 17.5

The model expects 19.4 points, more than the line of 17.5, so the pick on the Browns Over 17.5 relies on a 1.9-point edge to the line.

Away total lost
Steelers Under 20.5

The model expects 19.2 points, fewer than the line of 20.5, so the pick on the Steelers Under 20.5 relies on a 1.3-point edge to the line.

H2H (2)
1
PIT
0
T
1
CLE
25.5
Ø
6-1323-9
Steelers W 30-27L 3-20W 20-13L 6-30W 26-24
Browns W 21-18W 23-19L 10-34W 20-18W 13-6
41%Offense8%
50%Defense72%