Sun 27.09. 19:00 Week 3
FINAL
+2.3 pts
won
Chargers
LLLLL
16:24
FINAL
LAC
3.70
+270
+3
BUF -7
1.87
-115
-3
BUF
1.29
-340
-7
Bills
WWLWW
Model
70%
Bills: 4 wins in the last 5
Read
The Bills hold a clear edge with a +7.2 model margin and only 2 absences versus 6 for the Chargers, making the Bills -340 side at 70% model probability the right choice.
Bills: 4 wins in the last 5Chargers: 0 wins in the last 5Rest Bills 10d · Chargers 7dOut: Bills 2 · Chargers 6
Projected 21:28
Odds
ML LAC3.70+270
ML BUF1.29-340
LAC +71.95-105
BUF -71.87-115
Over 50.51.95-105
Under 50.51.87-115
Tips
Moneyline
1.29
won
Bills -340
The Bills hold a clear edge with a +7.2 model margin and only 2 absences versus 6 for the Chargers, making the Bills -340 side at 70% model probability the right choice.
Total
1.87
won
Under 50.5 (-115)
The model total of 48.2 sits 2.3 points below the 50.5 line, making the Under 50.5 (-115) side the correct one.
H2H
Chargers
L 14-26L 14-26L 3-16L 3-19L 16-20
Bills
W 41-31W 36-31L 30-33W 27-24W 35-8
27%Offense92%
67%Defense39%
Injuries
Chargers
Brenen Thompson Out
Charlie Kolar Out
Dalvin Tomlinson Out
Elijah Molden Out
Kayode Awosika Out
Trey Pipkins Out
Bills
Jordan Hancock Out
T.J. Sanders Out